Thursday, May 22, 2008

BCE Buyout Dead; Is Telus its Only Hope?


The biggest proposed buyout is dead after a ruling by the Canadian courts. Bond holders in Bell Canada Enterprises (BCE) appear to have won against the syndicate of private equity firms that were looking to buy the monolith for a total of $51.8 billion dollars - making it the largest LBO ever - at least it would have been. With the 5% decline in it's stock price following the request of financing banks to renegotiate the terms of the loans, the market appeared to have seen what lay ahead, but now what?

The fact that BCE is in dire straights has not changed. Almost as soon as the PE deal collapsed, talk of Telus, the largest telecommunications provider in Western Canada, may step-in to save the day. Telus had considered BCE about a year-back, but walked away when it wasn't granted access to internal financial records. Even if it does choose to give this deal a second look, there's no doubt that there would be competition concerns with the entire Canadian market being essentially divided between only these two firms and Rogers Communications.

Bell has said that it will appeal the decision to the nation's Supreme Court, but there's no way of knowing whether the court will even hear the case - the decision, at least according to the appeals court - is consistent with previous decisions. Bond holders, for the time being, appear to have won their case and have kept the company from assuming even greater debt and increasing its financial risk, but will their interests be ultimately served if the company can't meet those existing obligations?

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